Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Wright 41.4% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 56.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 84.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 81.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Hayton
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hayton
Wright
Last 6: Hayton 4-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
39.5% (453)
+13.0%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
42.4% (59)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
0.0% (1)
+36.8%
On penalty kill, Hayton has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Hayton
Wright
Home
56.9% (432)
39.5% (286)
Away
47.4% (344)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Hayton
Wright
P1
53.1%
39.9%
P2
50.3%
37.1%
P3
55.4%
42.9%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |