Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.7% vs Crosby 55.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 86.2%
Defensive zone
Crosby 58.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 67.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Hayton
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Hayton
Crosby
Last 6: Hayton 5-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (628)
53.5% (961)
-0.6%
Power Play
57.3% (110)
64.1% (237)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
64.3% (14)
-27.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hayton is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Hayton shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Hayton
Crosby
Home
57.9% (413)
56.4% (622)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Hayton
Crosby
P1
53.4%
56.0%
P2
50.9%
52.6%
P3
55.6%
58.3%
OT
33.3%
54.2%
Final 5 min
59.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
54.0%▬
53.0%
53.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |