Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.4% vs Crosby 55.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 91.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 70.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 76.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 80.9%
19.1%
80.9%
Hayton
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Hayton
Crosby
Last 6: Hayton 5-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (646)
53.7% (984)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
64.7% (241)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
64.3% (14)
-27.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hayton is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (474).
Hayton shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Hayton
Crosby
Home
56.9% (432)
56.9% (649)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Hayton
Crosby
P1
53.1%
55.8%
P2
50.3%
53.2%
P3
55.4%
58.7%
OT
25.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
59.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |