Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Crosby 56.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 74.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 85.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 77.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Hayton
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Hayton
Crosby
Last 8: Hayton 1-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
Hayton
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Hayton
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Hayton
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
56.2% (1,451)
-3.6%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
61.4% (293)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
55.3% (38)
-2.2%
On even strength, Crosby has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Hayton
Crosby
Home
53.9% (516)
59.1% (939)
Away
54.4% (504)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Hayton
Crosby
P1
55.1%
54.9%
P2
55.0%
60.8%
P3
51.7%
55.4%
OT
69.2%
53.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |