Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Crosby 52.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 57.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 80.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 64.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Hayton
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hayton
Crosby
Last 6: Hayton 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Hayton
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
52.5% (1,443)
-1.5%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
54.7% (369)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
55.9% (34)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Hayton
Crosby
Home
54.6% (639)
53.0% (931)
Away
47.2% (591)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Hayton
Crosby
P1
50.9%
50.3%
P2
52.7%
55.4%
P3
49.9%
53.3%
OT
41.7%
47.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:13 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |