Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Johnston 44.8% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 50.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 51.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 51.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Hayton
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayton
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Hayton
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
42.5% (318)
+8.5%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
55.6% (9)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
62.5% (8)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Hayton
Johnston
Home
54.6% (639)
40.5% (168)
Away
47.2% (591)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Hayton
Johnston
P1
50.9%
46.9%
P2
52.7%
40.4%
P3
49.9%
41.9%
OT
41.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |