Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Hayton wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Johnston 51.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 70.0%
Defensive zone
Johnston 59.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Hayton
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Hayton
Johnston
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
2
Hayton
Johnston
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
Hayton
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
52.6% (696)
+0.0%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
52.3% (88)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
42.4% (125)
+10.7%
On power play, Hayton has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hayton is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Hayton shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Hayton
Johnston
Home
53.9% (516)
52.8% (458)
Away
54.4% (504)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Hayton
Johnston
P1
55.1%
48.9%
P2
55.0%
52.3%
P3
51.7%
51.4%
OT
69.2%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |