Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Johnston 50.1% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 53.7%
Defensive zone
Johnston 75.9%
Neutral zone
Johnston 61.4%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Hayton
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Hayton
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
50.7% (552)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
61.5% (13)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
43.5% (69)
-1.1%
On power play, Johnston has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Hayton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Hayton shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Hayton
Johnston
Home
47.4% (171)
50.3% (342)
Away
51.4% (247)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Hayton
Johnston
P1
49.6%
54.4%
P2
50.0%
47.2%
P3
49.0%
49.4%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |