Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Hayton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Gourde 49.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 64.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 69.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 69.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Hayton
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Hayton
Gourde
Last 10: Hayton 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
8
0
Hayton
Gourde
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Hayton
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
4
Hayton
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
49.1% (847)
+1.9%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
79.5% (44)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
39.5% (81)
+5.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hayton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Hayton shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Hayton
Gourde
Home
54.6% (639)
50.1% (491)
Away
47.2% (591)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Hayton
Gourde
P1
50.9%
54.7%
P2
52.7%
45.0%
P3
49.9%
49.4%
OT
41.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
51.1%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |