Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 49.8% vs Gourde 48.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 51.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 59.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.6%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Hayton
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayton
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (318)
48.0% (914)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.7% (67)
54.2% (48)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
43.9% (123)
-1.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hayton is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Hayton shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Hayton
Gourde
Home
47.4% (171)
50.2% (512)
Away
51.4% (247)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Hayton
Gourde
P1
49.6%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
45.3%
P3
49.0%
48.6%
OT
75.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
49.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:16 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |