Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Lizotte 51.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 55.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 72.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Lowry
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Lizotte
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
1
Lowry
Lizotte
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Lizotte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Lizotte
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
51.3% (534)
+4.5%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
61.1% (18)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
50.9% (55)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lizotte
Home
53.4% (515)
52.5% (326)
Away
52.6% (549)
50.5% (281)
By Period
Lowry
Lizotte
P1
54.2%
51.4%
P2
54.4%
56.3%
P3
50.8%
46.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |