Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Howden 46.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 58.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 54.5%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Lizotte
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lizotte
Howden
Last 7: Lizotte 4-3 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Howden
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Howden
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
2
Lizotte
Howden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
47.3% (330)
+0.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
22.2% (9)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
25.9% (27)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Howden
Home
48.8% (170)
44.3% (176)
Away
45.1% (195)
45.8% (190)
By Period
Lizotte
Howden
P1
44.4%
43.1%
P2
53.3%
43.1%
P3
43.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
43.0%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |