Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Howden 49.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 54.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 65.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 60.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Lizotte
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Lizotte
Howden
Last 10: Lizotte 6-4 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
6
1
Lizotte
Howden
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Howden
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Lizotte
Howden
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
49.6% (2,905)
+2.0%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
50.5% (111)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
43.2% (315)
-0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Howden
Home
49.5% (1,840)
48.4% (1,608)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
49.6% (1,723)
By Period
Lizotte
Howden
P1
48.0%
49.5%
P2
52.3%
48.0%
P3
50.5%
49.9%
OT
75.0%
39.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |