Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Howden 50.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 74.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 75.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.5%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Lizotte
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
0
1
Lizotte
Howden
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
50.4% (381)
+2.5%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
55.6% (18)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
48.3% (29)
-5.2%
On power play, Howden has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Howden
Home
44.2% (242)
47.7% (195)
Away
56.0% (234)
52.8% (233)
By Period
Lizotte
Howden
P1
49.6%
51.1%
P2
46.9%
52.6%
P3
52.6%
48.8%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Brett Howden |