Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Hughes 37.9% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 51.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 86.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 73.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Lizotte
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lizotte
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
34.9% (444)
+17.6%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
50.0% (14)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
33.3% (6)
+8.1%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hughes
Home
51.4% (383)
37.4% (235)
Away
50.9% (424)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Lizotte
Hughes
P1
48.8%
37.1%
P2
51.0%
33.7%
P3
53.5%
34.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |