Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Hughes 36.6% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 75.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 98.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 96.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 93.7%
93.7%
6.3%
Lizotte
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
4
(17 meetings)
13
4
Lizotte
Hughes
Last 10: Lizotte 7-3 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
9
1
Lizotte
Hughes
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lizotte
Hughes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
36.0% (2,887)
+15.6%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
38.8% (224)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
31.0% (42)
+11.3%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hughes
Home
49.5% (1,840)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Lizotte
Hughes
P1
48.0%
36.9%
P2
52.3%
33.6%
P3
50.5%
38.1%
OT
75.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |