Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Hughes 39.2% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 56.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 94.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 90.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Lizotte
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lizotte
Hughes
Last 5: Lizotte 4-1 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Hughes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
37.9% (623)
+15.6%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
33.3% (33)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
36.4% (11)
+2.2%
On power play, Hughes has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hughes
Home
52.0% (198)
36.6% (314)
Away
49.7% (149)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Lizotte
Hughes
P1
50.0%
36.4%
P2
50.9%
35.6%
P3
52.2%
41.8%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |