Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs McBain 41.9% (+17.6%)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 55.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 54.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Lizotte
McBain
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
37.2% (86)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
17.6% (17)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. McBain is 28.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Lizotte
McBain
Home
52.5% (326)
33.8% (68)
Away
50.5% (281)
34.3% (35)
By Period
Lizotte
McBain
P1
51.4%
40.6%
P2
56.3%
40.5%
P3
46.1%
20.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
34.0%