Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs McBain 45.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 56.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 50.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Lizotte
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lizotte
McBain
Last 8: Lizotte 5-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
McBain
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Lizotte
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
2
Lizotte
McBain
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
46.3% (568)
+1.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
37.5% (8)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
37.8% (74)
+3.5%
On power play, McBain has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lizotte is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Lizotte
McBain
Home
48.8% (170)
50.6% (330)
Away
45.1% (195)
39.7% (320)
By Period
Lizotte
McBain
P1
44.4%
45.4%
P2
53.3%
44.5%
P3
43.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
43.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 02:59 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |