Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs McBain 44.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 75.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 53.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 68.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Lizotte
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Lizotte
McBain
Last 10: Lizotte 7-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
McBain
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Lizotte
McBain
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
5
3
Lizotte
McBain
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
45.3% (675)
+7.2%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
50.0% (16)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
37.6% (149)
+3.8%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Lizotte
McBain
Home
51.4% (383)
45.5% (437)
Away
50.9% (424)
42.4% (403)
By Period
Lizotte
McBain
P1
48.8%
43.5%
P2
51.0%
44.0%
P3
53.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:28 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |