Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.0%). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Guentzel 50.4% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 55.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 72.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 54.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Lizotte
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
45.0% (20)
+6.3%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
75.0% (4)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
100.0% (1)
-49.1%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Guentzel is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Guentzel
Home
52.5% (326)
56.3% (16)
Away
50.5% (281)
44.4% (9)
By Period
Lizotte
Guentzel
P1
51.4%
20.0%
P2
56.3%
57.1%
P3
46.1%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%