Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Guentzel 46.9% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 86.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 81.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.4%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Lizotte
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
46.1% (256)
+7.4%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
47.5% (122)
-47.5%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
16.7% (6)
+21.9%
On power play, Guentzel has a +47.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Guentzel is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Guentzel
Home
52.0% (198)
49.3% (201)
Away
49.7% (149)
42.6% (183)
By Period
Lizotte
Guentzel
P1
50.0%
49.6%
P2
50.9%
45.6%
P3
52.2%
41.6%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%