Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Stenlund 52.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 75.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 70.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 53.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Lizotte
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lizotte
Stenlund
Last 5: Lizotte 2-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Lizotte
Stenlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
58.2% (359)
-5.7%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
47.1% (17)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
42.0% (150)
-0.6%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stenlund
Home
51.4% (383)
53.6% (261)
Away
50.9% (424)
52.8% (265)
By Period
Lizotte
Stenlund
P1
48.8%
55.4%
P2
51.0%
51.5%
P3
53.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |