Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 54.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 56.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 63.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Lizotte
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lizotte
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Lizotte
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
56.1% (615)
-3.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
53.2% (47)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
52.1% (307)
-9.0%
On power play, Stenlund has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stenlund
Home
44.2% (242)
57.0% (458)
Away
56.0% (234)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Lizotte
Stenlund
P1
49.6%
55.1%
P2
46.9%
53.3%
P3
52.6%
56.4%
OT
100.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |