Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 54.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 57.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 60.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Lizotte
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Lizotte
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
58.6% (797)
-5.1%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
62.5% (24)
-62.5%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
60.5% (233)
-21.9%
On power play, Stenlund has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stenlund
Home
52.0% (198)
58.6% (548)
Away
49.7% (149)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Lizotte
Stenlund
P1
50.0%
60.2%
P2
50.9%
59.1%
P3
52.2%
58.3%
OT
0.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
60.9%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |