Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 51.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 50.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.4%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Lizotte
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lizotte
Suzuki
Last 7: Lizotte 2-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Lizotte
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Lizotte
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
50.3% (1,075)
+1.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
49.3% (219)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
43.1% (116)
+7.8%
On power play, Lizotte has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Suzuki
Home
52.5% (326)
53.6% (711)
Away
50.5% (281)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Lizotte
Suzuki
P1
51.4%
48.5%
P2
56.3%
51.7%
P3
46.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |