Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 56.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 63.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 62.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Lizotte
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lizotte
Suzuki
Last 5: Lizotte 3-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Lizotte
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
47.0% (1,066)
+5.5%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
49.5% (204)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
46.6% (131)
-5.2%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Suzuki
Home
51.4% (383)
49.4% (686)
Away
50.9% (424)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Lizotte
Suzuki
P1
48.8%
45.6%
P2
51.0%
46.9%
P3
53.5%
49.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:27 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |