Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Stastny 55.4% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 55.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 65.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 53.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Lizotte
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
59.2% (370)
-7.9%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
40.9% (44)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
51.7% (58)
-0.8%
On power play, Lizotte has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stastny
Home
52.5% (326)
57.7% (215)
Away
50.5% (281)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Lizotte
Stastny
P1
51.4%
57.7%
P2
56.3%
54.2%
P3
46.1%
57.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%