Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Stastny 56.3% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Lizotte
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lizotte
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Lizotte
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
57.5% (412)
-5.0%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
60.0% (65)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
44.4% (9)
-3.0%
On power play, Stastny has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stastny
Home
51.4% (383)
58.3% (276)
Away
50.9% (424)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Lizotte
Stastny
P1
48.8%
63.7%
P2
51.0%
57.3%
P3
53.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |