Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 52.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 77.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 67.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Lizotte
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Lizotte
Stastny
Last 10: Lizotte 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Lizotte
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
2
Lizotte
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Lizotte
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (3,005)
54.6% (10,616)
-2.9%
Power Play
49.4% (77)
59.1% (1,994)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (409)
52.9% (1,119)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lizotte is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,332).
Lizotte shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stastny
Home
49.8% (1,780)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
51.6% (1,711)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Lizotte
Stastny
P1
48.2%
56.3%
P2
52.8%
55.4%
P3
50.7%
53.5%
OT
66.7%
62.9%
Final 5 min
50.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |