Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Krebs 40.7% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 79.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 91.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 88.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Lizotte
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lizotte
Krebs
Last 5: Lizotte 5-0 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
33.3% (159)
+18.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
61.5% (13)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
0.0% (1)
+50.9%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Krebs is 31.6% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Krebs
Home
52.5% (326)
37.0% (81)
Away
50.5% (281)
33.7% (92)
By Period
Lizotte
Krebs
P1
51.4%
39.0%
P2
56.3%
32.8%
P3
46.1%
33.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |