Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Krebs 45.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 79.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 81.5%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 80.4%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Lizotte
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
2
(13 meetings)
11
2
Lizotte
Krebs
Last 10: Lizotte 8-2 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
0
Lizotte
Krebs
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
5
2
Lizotte
Krebs
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
46.0% (2,159)
+5.6%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
52.5% (99)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
38.6% (171)
+3.7%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Krebs
Home
49.5% (1,840)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Lizotte
Krebs
P1
48.0%
45.9%
P2
52.3%
46.4%
P3
50.5%
44.8%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |