Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Krebs 45.9% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 84.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 63.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 75.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Lizotte
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lizotte
Krebs
Last 7: Lizotte 5-2 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
0
Lizotte
Krebs
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Lizotte
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
45.5% (501)
+7.0%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
50.0% (20)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
37.1% (35)
+4.3%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Krebs is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Krebs
Home
51.4% (383)
43.9% (285)
Away
50.9% (424)
46.5% (271)
By Period
Lizotte
Krebs
P1
48.8%
45.4%
P2
51.0%
50.9%
P3
53.5%
39.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |