Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Hartman 44.0% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 65.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 74.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 80.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Lizotte
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lizotte
Hartman
Last 8: Lizotte 5-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
3
Lizotte
Hartman
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
42.6% (495)
+9.9%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
38.5% (26)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
48.8% (43)
-7.4%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hartman
Home
51.4% (383)
43.4% (288)
Away
50.9% (424)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Lizotte
Hartman
P1
48.8%
43.1%
P2
51.0%
43.4%
P3
53.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |