Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Hartman 48.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 67.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 66.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 57.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Lizotte
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lizotte
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
48.1% (520)
+5.4%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
44.7% (47)
-44.7%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
47.8% (23)
-9.2%
On power play, Hartman has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hartman
Home
52.0% (198)
48.3% (360)
Away
49.7% (149)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Lizotte
Hartman
P1
50.0%
48.5%
P2
50.9%
45.2%
P3
52.2%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |