Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.0%). Lizotte wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Hartman 47.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 55.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 55.7%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Lizotte
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lizotte
Hartman
Last 5: Lizotte 3-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Lizotte
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
47.1% (649)
+0.8%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
47.1% (68)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
45.2% (73)
-3.9%
On power play, Hartman has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Lizotte is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Lizotte shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hartman
Home
48.8% (170)
46.5% (361)
Away
45.1% (195)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Lizotte
Hartman
P1
44.4%
45.1%
P2
53.3%
44.4%
P3
43.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
43.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |