Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 62.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 70.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 57.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Lizotte
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Lizotte
Johansen
Last 10: Lizotte 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
4
Lizotte
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lizotte
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Lizotte
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (3,005)
53.1% (11,017)
-1.4%
Power Play
49.4% (77)
56.2% (2,163)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (409)
50.5% (978)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lizotte is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,159).
Lizotte shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Johansen
Home
49.8% (1,780)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
51.6% (1,711)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Lizotte
Johansen
P1
48.2%
53.2%
P2
52.8%
53.9%
P3
50.7%
52.8%
OT
66.7%
58.2%
Final 5 min
50.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |