Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Johansen 52.8% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 54.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 55.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Lizotte
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lizotte
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
51.9% (597)
-4.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
57.9% (133)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
54.3% (81)
-13.0%
On power play, Johansen has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lizotte is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Lizotte shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Johansen
Home
48.8% (170)
55.8% (387)
Away
45.1% (195)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Lizotte
Johansen
P1
44.4%
50.0%
P2
53.3%
56.2%
P3
43.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
43.0%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |