Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Johansen 58.2% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 84.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 50.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 57.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Lizotte
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lizotte
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
59.8% (625)
-7.3%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
58.2% (196)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
51.9% (27)
-10.5%
On power play, Johansen has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Johansen
Home
51.4% (383)
60.3% (436)
Away
50.9% (424)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Lizotte
Johansen
P1
48.8%
61.3%
P2
51.0%
60.4%
P3
53.5%
56.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |