Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Johansen 53.3% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 72.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 60.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Lizotte
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Lizotte
Johansen
Last 10: Lizotte 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
4
Lizotte
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lizotte
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Lizotte
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
53.1% (11,017)
-1.5%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
56.2% (2,163)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
50.5% (978)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Johansen
Home
49.5% (1,840)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Lizotte
Johansen
P1
48.0%
53.2%
P2
52.3%
53.9%
P3
50.5%
52.8%
OT
75.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
50.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |