Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Carrick 49.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 63.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 52.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 53.3%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Lizotte
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lizotte
Carrick
Last 5: Lizotte 4-1 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
48.9% (352)
+2.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
81.3% (16)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
42.2% (45)
+8.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Carrick
Home
52.5% (326)
46.9% (192)
Away
50.5% (281)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Lizotte
Carrick
P1
51.4%
48.1%
P2
56.3%
50.0%
P3
46.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |