Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Carrick 49.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 69.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 67.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 54.4%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Lizotte
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lizotte
Carrick
Last 5: Lizotte 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
2
Lizotte
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
49.2% (307)
+3.3%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
66.7% (6)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
48.2% (56)
-6.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Carrick
Home
51.4% (383)
50.3% (175)
Away
50.9% (424)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Lizotte
Carrick
P1
48.8%
41.0%
P2
51.0%
51.2%
P3
53.5%
55.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |