Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 71.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Lizotte
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Lizotte
Kuraly
Last 7: Lizotte 0-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
5
Lizotte
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Lizotte
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
52.3% (982)
-1.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
41.9% (43)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
39.2% (245)
+11.7%
On power play, Lizotte has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Kuraly
Home
52.5% (326)
50.3% (680)
Away
50.5% (281)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Lizotte
Kuraly
P1
51.4%
49.5%
P2
56.3%
49.6%
P3
46.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |