Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 78.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 77.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Lizotte
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Lizotte
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
49.2% (901)
+3.3%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
68.2% (22)
-22.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
49.8% (219)
-8.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Kuraly
Home
51.4% (383)
51.7% (603)
Away
50.9% (424)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Lizotte
Kuraly
P1
48.8%
50.9%
P2
51.0%
49.5%
P3
53.5%
49.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |