Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 54.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 59.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 61.3%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Lizotte
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Lizotte
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
55.3% (515)
-1.8%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
55.6% (9)
-55.6%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
44.8% (58)
-6.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Kuraly
Home
52.0% (198)
57.3% (293)
Away
49.7% (149)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Lizotte
Kuraly
P1
50.0%
53.8%
P2
50.9%
51.5%
P3
52.2%
57.6%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |