Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 54.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 58.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Lizotte
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lizotte
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
49.3% (789)
+2.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
56.9% (181)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
54.1% (98)
-3.2%
On power play, Lizotte has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lizotte is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Lizotte shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stamkos
Home
52.5% (326)
52.0% (512)
Away
50.5% (281)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Lizotte
Stamkos
P1
51.4%
42.1%
P2
56.3%
56.4%
P3
46.1%
53.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:44 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |