Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 47.5% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 66.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Lizotte
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lizotte
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Lizotte
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (313)
55.9% (499)
-8.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
56.3% (126)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
58.3% (12)
-17.0%
On power play, Stamkos has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lizotte is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Lizotte shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stamkos
Home
48.8% (170)
55.3% (349)
Away
45.1% (195)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Lizotte
Stamkos
P1
44.4%
57.0%
P2
53.3%
59.2%
P3
43.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
43.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |