Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 86.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 79.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 56.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 86.0%
14.0%
86.0%
Lizotte
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lizotte
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
49.3% (670)
+4.2%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
53.7% (121)
-53.7%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
33.3% (3)
+5.3%
On power play, Stamkos has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stamkos
Home
52.0% (198)
54.0% (400)
Away
49.7% (149)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Lizotte
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
48.6%
P2
50.9%
54.5%
P3
52.2%
45.4%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |