Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Nosek 53.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 59.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 69.8%
Neutral zone
Nosek 57.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Lizotte
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lizotte
Nosek
Last 5: Lizotte 3-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
55.1% (557)
-3.8%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.0% (4)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
47.7% (111)
+3.2%
On power play, Lizotte has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Nosek
Home
52.5% (326)
52.3% (342)
Away
50.5% (281)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Lizotte
Nosek
P1
51.4%
49.0%
P2
56.3%
53.8%
P3
46.1%
57.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |