Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 51.8%). Lizotte wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Nosek 51.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 74.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 58.5%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 62.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Lizotte
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lizotte
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Lizotte
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
53.0% (400)
+0.5%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
33.3% (12)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
45.5% (44)
-6.9%
On power play, Nosek has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Lizotte is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Lizotte shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Nosek
Home
52.0% (198)
49.6% (244)
Away
49.7% (149)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Lizotte
Nosek
P1
50.0%
53.1%
P2
50.9%
51.4%
P3
52.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
60.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |